Russians are watching the new ratings of Poroshenko and Zelensky, two candidates for the presidency of Ukraine, almost more closely than Ukrainians. After all, the relationship between the two countries in the future depends on who wins in the second round of elections.
And the struggle is serious, everything is started up: from "black PR" to attempts to attract young people of Ukraine with the help of posters in the style of "Petro Poroshenko is a rock star."
We, of course, will not campaign for any of the candidates. And we will impartially show you rating of Poroshenko and Zelensky today according to the results of various surveys of the population of Ukraine.
Zelensky's rating against Poroshenko according to KIIS
According to the results of a telephone survey, which was conducted from 6 to 18 April, Vladimir Zelensky is the favorite in the presidential race.
During the survey, researchers asked respondents whether they would vote in the second round of elections, which will be held on April 21. If the respondent answered positively, he was asked which of the candidates he is most likely to vote for. This is how the votes of the respondents were distributed over two-day periods.
| 8-9.04 | 9-10.04 | 10-11.04 | 11-12.04 | 12-13.04 | 13-14.04 | 14-15.04 | 15-16.04 | 16-17.04 | 17-18.04 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I will vote for Vladimir Zelensky | 54,8 | 52,0 | 48,7 | 45,9 | 43,4 | 49,4 | 48,8 | 50,6 | 49,1 | 48,5 |
| I will vote for Petro Poroshenko | 17,8 | 21,1 | 21,9 | 22,4 | 24,6 | 25,4 | 30,0 | 27,1 | 23,5 | 22,9 |
| I'll ruin the newsletter | 0,9 | 1,8 | 1,1 | 1,0 | 2,7 | 2,1 | 0,3 | 0,6 | 1,5 | 2,0 |
| I will not vote | ,6 | 1,4 | 1,2 | 1,7 | 2,0 | 1,0 | 0,2 | 0,2 | ,1 | ,4 |
| I am at a loss to answer | 25,9 | 23,6 | 27,1 | 28,9 | 27,3 | 22,1 | 20,6 | 21,4 | 25,8 | 26,2 |
And below you can see how the votes of those Ukrainians who intend to go to the polls and know exactly who will be given preference in the second round were distributed.
During the creation of the new ratings of Zelensky and Poroshenko, residents of Donetsk and Luhansk regions, as well as Crimeans, were not interviewed.
What is the rating of Poroshenko and Zelensky according to the sociological group "Rating"
Disappointing for the current Ukrainian authorities and the results of a sociological survey, which was initiated by the group "Rating". It covers the period from 12 to 16 April.
When asked which of the two candidates they would vote for, the Ukrainians responded as follows:
- 52% - will give their vote to Zelensky;
- 19% - for Poroshenko;
- 19% have not decided yet;
- 10% - are not going to go to the election sites.
The votes of those determined to vote in the second round on April 21 were as follows:
- 58% - put a tick in front of Zelensky's name in the ballot;
- 22% - for Poroshenko;
- another 20% are still choosing between candidates.
And among those who will vote and have decided on the choice of candidates, 73% are going to entrust the further fate of Ukraine to Volodymyr Zelensky, and only 27% - to Petro Poroshenko.
Fresh ratings of Zelensky and Poroshenko according to Edison Research
According to a sociological company controlled by Rinat Akhmetov, the rating of Vladimir Zelensky is decreasing, but the position of Petro Poroshenko, on the contrary, is strengthening.
This conclusion was made by the company's specialists on the basis of a telephone survey.Voter confidence in Zelenskiy fell from 60% to 55%, while Poroshenko's rating rose from 25% to 31%.
However, the Ukrainian showman is still the leader of the election race.
Drug addiction, Putin and "humiliation of the state": what influenced the ratings of Zelensky and Poroshenko before the second round
The decline in the popularity of Petro Poroshenko was largely influenced by both the "dirty" election technologies used by his team and the conversation that took place on the air of the 1 + 1 TV channel. But first things first.
- Firstly, many Ukrainians were outraged by the posters on which the faces of Petro Poroshenko and Vladimir Putin are placed opposite each other. The inscription on the posters is laconic and reads: “April 21. Decisive choice! "
It turns out that anyone who does not vote for Poroshenko is automatically considered a supporter of Putin.
- Secondly, supporters of Petro Poroshenko began to accuse Vladimir Zelensky of drug addiction. And they emphasize the fact that he did not take tests at an independent company, but at the Eurolab clinic, which belongs to a friend of Zelensky's, Andrei Palchevsky. Currently, the topic of "Zelensky the drug addict" is being actively promoted with the help of leaflets, posters, inscriptions on T-shirts, etc.
- Thirdly, Petro Poroshenko called Volodymyr Zelenskiy a “puppet” of the oligarch Igor Kolomoisky and although he did not openly call him a drug addict, he stressed during his speeches that a person suffering from drug addiction should not become the Ukrainian president and supreme commander in chief. Thus, transparently hinting at their opponent.
- Fourth, during the broadcast of the Right to Power program, Poroshenko unexpectedly appeared in the studio of the 1 + 1 TV channel, ostensibly to have a discussion with Zelensky.
However, his opponent was not in the country at that time, he flew to France to meet with President Emmanuel Macron. Poroshenko recalled this by Zelensky himself, calling on the air. Two candidates for the post of head of the country entered into a skirmish, the point at which was put by Zelensky himself, hanging up.
Some viewers found the tone Zelenskiy used to address Poroshenko as humiliating for the head of state. In the opinion of others, it was in such a tone that one should speak with a person who had not hesitated to throw mud at an opponent before.
- Fifth, the actions of Poroshenko himself and his guards (for example, ripping off the cap from the girl's head, knocking out mobile phones for “inconvenient” questions about the journalist and video blogger Anatoly Shariy) turn voters away from him.
Zelensky, although he openly admitted that he “does not respect” Poroshenko, does not allow himself to make statements that can defame the honor and dignity of the current president of Ukraine. This only adds to his popularity points among ordinary Ukrainians, who see the contrast between the actions of the campaign headquarters of both candidates.
- Zelensky's ratings are also positively influenced by the high level of disillusionment among Ukrainians with the current government.
- In addition, some voters perceive Zelensky not only as a successful showman, but as a person who played a good and honest president in the Servant of the People series.
Petro Poroshenko's only hope for raising the rating remains the debate with Volodymyr Zelensky, which is scheduled for today, April 19.
Who will become the President of Ukraine: expert opinions
Most of both Russian and Ukrainian experts believe that on April 21, Ukrainians will make their choice in favor of Vladimir Zelensky.
For example, Ukrainian political scientist Pyotr Oleshchuk said in an interview with the Slovo i Delo newspaper that if sociology is to be believed, the result is already predetermined. And there is no visible opportunity to change this situation.
According to political scientist Mikhail Pogrebinsky, the miscalculations of Poroshenko's campaign headquarters in recent years are associated with the disastrous results of the first round. Pogrebinsky called the situation "hopeless" for Poroshenko, and the situation with a large margin of Zelensky is the result of Poroshenko's actions over the past five years.
The Kremlin has not commented on its likes and dislikes, but Russian presidential spokesman Dmitry Peskov said he would like to watch the debate between the two Ukrainian candidates. He thinks it will be "an interesting sight."