It's not a secret for anyone that on March 9 the ruble exchange rate fell. The reason is the collapse of oil prices. Experts say that the further dynamics of the national currency will depend not only on the level of production of "black gold" in Russia, but also on epidemic coronavirus.
You can talk as much as you like about the problems of the state. Ordinary people far from politics are much more concerned with the question: "How will the unstable economic situation affect prices?" If you are also worried about this, pay attention to our rating of goods that will rise in price due to the depreciation of the ruble in the near future.
Medication
Medicines and medical equipment are at risk. Here prices can skyrocket by 30%. We are talking about products, in the manufacture of which imported substances are used. The Association of Russian Pharmaceutical Manufacturers stated that 80% of all drugs in Russia are made on their basis. The cost of domestic medicines will grow by 10-15%.
The worst thing is that some drugs may disappear from pharmacies altogether. However, the government has promised that the changes will not affect essential drugs. The authorities tried to reassure citizens, recalling that the cost of such drugs is regulated by the state. On the other hand, medical equipment will become much more expensive. If your blood pressure monitor or inhaler breaks down, do not postpone the purchase "for later", go to the pharmacy in the near future.
Household appliances and electronics
Of course, gadgets, electronics and imported household appliances will rise in price. Estimated figures are from 20 to 35%. Leading analysts say that sharp price surges in this industry are not expected, the cost will rise gradually. While consumers may not worry, there is a large amount of equipment in store warehouses, but in six months the situation will change. It should be noted that there are already some problems with the supply of goods and components from abroad. The reason is the coronavirus epidemic.
It has also become a big problem that now it is almost impossible to order electronics from Ali-Express, and this is hardly the most popular trading platform among Russians. Although good chinese smartphones can be purchased even in Russian stores.
Clothes and footwear
The same figures (from 20 to 35%) were announced for the light industry. Many clothes and shoes were brought from China. What is there to hide, more than half of the population of our country dresses according to the principle of "cheap and cheerful". So now you will have to pay a third more for one thing. A similar situation will occur in the children's goods market, and not only wardrobe items will rise in price, but also toys.
Non-food products are highly dependent on imports. For example, the president of the Finn Flare company Ksenia Ryasova calls the figure 20%. Roughly the price increase will occur by the summer. Also, this year, do not expect generous promotions and global sales.
Food
Even during the sanctions, people learned to do without "overseas food". As it turned out, the country's population can live without American grapes and European shrimp.In 2019, the share of imported products was 25% (for comparison, in 2013 it was 36%). Salt, sugar, cereals, bread, dairy products - everything will remain the same here. Representatives of the largest retailers said that so far, suppliers have not approached them about increasing the cost. If prices continue to rise, then very slowly. However, they are already constantly increasing, so no one will notice the difference. However, lovers of imported alcohol, chocolate, tea and coffee should be prepared - their cost will increase significantly.
Interesting fact. But in cafes and restaurants, food will rise in price by 10%. Most of these establishments cooperate exclusively with domestic suppliers of products, but the latter cannot yet do without imported goods. For example, this group includes seeds and fertilizers.
Cars
But in the car market, everything is much sadder. The unstable economic situation has caused confusion among the owners of the auto business. Forecasts are disappointing - they speak of a rapid rise in prices. Foreign cars will skyrocket in price. Fans of the domestic auto industry may not be happy either - even Lada will rise in price. Cars are produced on imported equipment, using components from abroad. There is no need to rely on "stocks", even those cars that are already exhibited in showrooms may rise in price. These prices were set on much more favorable forecasts.
Analyst Alexei Korenev named the following figures: 3 - 6%, if the national currency can be strengthened (up to 70 rubles per dollar). Otherwise, the increase in car prices may exceed the 10% mark. In addition, he does not deny that companies can take advantage of the situation for profit.
The only way out for those wishing to purchase an iron horse can be popular used cars, the price of which will start to grow with a delay.
But as the saying goes "there is a silver lining." Domestic manufacturers of special equipment (agricultural, road, municipal) will be out of competition. This will have a beneficial effect on the work of Russian machine-building plants.
The property
The fall in the ruble will also affect the value of real estate. At first, prices are expected to rise on the market for new buildings (up to 10%), followed by an increase in the cost of secondary housing. The pessimistic forecast (if oil costs less than $ 20 per barrel) is 20%. For ordinary people, this is a very significant amount. A jump in the exchange rate often becomes the reason that pushes people to rash purchases. They are in a hurry to invest their money so as not to lose it. The easiest way to save money is to buy an apartment. Demand rises, prices rise. Against the background of all these events, an increase in mortgage rates is possible. So if you are going to buy a home, do it now.
Travels
Summer is ahead, the season of vacations. But will everyone be able to soak up the warm sand and see the sea? Tourist packages have already increased in price. Their value is formed not in rubles, but in foreign currency. Tourists usually buy vouchers at the rate set on the day of payment. Another boom has begun, future travelers are in a hurry to pay for their vacation. Top countries to visit in 2020 risk being left without Russian tourists.
And what about the Russian south? Crimea? Is there an opportunity to relax even there?
There are no forecasts on this score yet. But if you remember the situation that happened in 2016, all questions will disappear by themselves. The inaccessibility of Egyptian and Turkish resorts has led to a large influx of tourists to the peninsula, as a result, prices have increased by almost a third. It is possible that the situation will repeat itself.